Análisis de la recuperación de excedentes agrícolas en Antioquia, Colombia 2018–2024

Santiago Gómez Velásquez; María Alejandra Agudelo Martínez; María Julieta Avendaño Lopez; Angiee Julieth Santamaría García; Nathalia Varela García

doi:10.54167/tch.v20i1.2136

Authors

Santiago Gómez Velásquez Universidad CES, Medellín, CO. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5618-2056 (unauthenticated)
María Alejandra Agudelo Martínez Universidad CES, Medellín, CO. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9855-6757 (unauthenticated)
María Julieta Avendaño Lopez Universidad CES, Medellín, CO. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4578-4836 (unauthenticated)
Angiee Julieth Santamaría García ABACO, Asociación de Bancos de Alimentos de Colombia, Bogotá, CO. https://orcid.org/0009-0007-9870-3482 (unauthenticated)
Nathalia Varela García Universidad CES, Medellín, CO. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2087-7101 (unauthenticated)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54167/tch.v20i1.2136

Keywords:

food waste, food surplus, food security, sustainable agri-food system, food supply

Abstract

Globally, between 1.05 and 1.3 billion tonnes of food are lost or wasted annually. Food surplus recovery is a key strategy for the sustainability of agri-food systems and the food and nutritional security of vulnerable populations. The objective of this research was to analyze recovery trends in the department of Antioquia, Colombia, using data from the SACIAR Foundation (REAGRO program), characterizing dynamics by food type, seasonality, and territorial distribution. An observational and analytical study was conducted using secondary information from the REAGRO program, following STROSA criteria to ensure data quality. Statistical and graphical analysis was developed in Python (3.11) using the pandas, matplotlib, and seaborn libraries; a SARIMA model was applied to predict future recovery behavior. Seasonal patterns were identified with peaks between February-May and October, and lower recovery in August-September. Fruits and tubers (especially bananas and carrots) accounted for the highest volumes. The results highlight opportunities for the technological valorization of surpluses and the strengthening of territorial food security strategies.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.54167/tch.v20i1.2136

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References

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Analysis of the Recovery of Agricultural Surpluses in Antioquia, Colombia, 2018–2024

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